toban@web:~$ whoami

Toban Wiebe

I lead AI/ML/DS at Keeper, where we're building an automated AI matchmaking system for high-throughput marriage formation. My academic background is in economics (UPenn PhD) where my research focused on equilibrium search and matching models applied to marriage markets.

Stuff I'm excited about: matching markets, Bayesian inference, keyboard-driven interfaces, AI & robots, Starship, and tools that make careful thinking easier.

writing

Essays.

all writing
  1. Use eCDFs instead of histograms Histograms are familiar, but empirical CDFs are usually a better default for visualizing distributions: no bin widths, easy percentiles, and better behavior in the tails.
  2. Stop worrying about class imbalance Data scientists worry too much about class imbalance in classifier training sets. If you care about calibrated probabilities, log loss already handles the imbalance correctly.
  3. Quantifying uncertainty in probability predictions Suppose you're interested in knowing the chances of an event X occuring (e.g., X = " a nuclear strike over any populated area in the year 2019 "). When making predictions a...

bits

Short posts.

all bits
  1. New essay: Use eCDFs instead of histograms Histograms make you fiddle with bin widths, hide percentiles, and handle tails badly. eCDFs avoid all three problems.
  2. New mini-app for name analytics: What's in a Name? I made a fun data app that guesses whether a name feels old, new, rising, or fading.
  3. New essay: Stop worrying about class imbalance Class imbalance is mostly a non-issue.
  4. Quantifying uncertainty in probability predictions Suppose you're interested in knowing the chances of an event X occuring (e.g., X = " a nuclear strike over any populated area in the year 2019 "). When making predictions a...

selected work

Models, tools, and habits.

all projects

What's in a Name?

An interactive estimator for whether a first name is old, new, making a comeback, going out of style, and how popular it is.

Dotfiles

Configuration for a keyboard-first Linux shell, editor, and window-manager setup.

links

Find me elsewhere.

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